{"id":65546,"date":"2018-06-14T19:00:38","date_gmt":"2018-06-14T15:00:38","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-29T20:00:00","slug":"","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/?p=65546","title":{"rendered":"\u201cAz\u0259rbaycan\u0131n valyuta bazar\u0131 \u00e7ox ki\u00e7ikdir\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"

R\u0259\u015fad H\u0259s\u0259nov: “Böyük ehtimalla may ay\u0131nda valyutaya t\u0259l\u0259bin azalmas\u0131nda mü\u0259yy\u0259n q\u0259d\u0259r \u015fopinq festival\u0131n\u0131n keçirilm\u0259sinin d\u0259 t\u0259siri var idi”
\nSamir \u018fliyev: “Az\u0259rbaycanda dollar bollu\u011funun kökü dünya bazar\u0131ndak\u0131 neftd\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r”<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u018fhali 1 ayda 545 milyon 660 min dollar al\u0131b. Az\u0259rbaycan banklar\u0131 bu ilin aprel ay\u0131nda na\u011fd xarici valyuta il\u0259 mübadil\u0259 \u0259m\u0259liyyatlar\u0131 ç\u0259rçiv\u0259sind\u0259 \u0259haliy\u0259 411 milyon 732 min AB\u015e dollar\u0131n\u0131n xalis sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 h\u0259yata keçirib. M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131n statistikas\u0131na gör\u0259, bu, mart ay\u0131 il\u0259 müqayis\u0259d\u0259 15 d\u0259f\u0259 çoxdur. Apreld\u0259 \u0259hali banklardan 545 milyon 660 min dollar al\u0131b, banklara 133 milyon 928 min dollar sat\u0131b. Ayl\u0131q müqayis\u0259d\u0259 \u0259haliy\u0259 dollar sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 2,7 d\u0259f\u0259 art\u0131b, \u0259halid\u0259n dollar al\u0131\u015f\u0131 is\u0259 24% azal\u0131b. 2018-ci ilin yanvar-fevral aylar\u0131nda aylar\u0131nda \u0259halid\u0259n dollar al\u0131\u015f\u0131 sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 üst\u0259l\u0259diyi halda, mart v\u0259 aprel aylar\u0131nda \u0259ks proses ba\u015f verib. Maraql\u0131d\u0131r, bu art\u0131m, d\u0259yi\u015fiklik n\u0259 il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259dard\u0131r?<\/p>\n

Mövzu il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 “Üç nöqt\u0259”y\u0259 aç\u0131qlama ver\u0259n iqtisadç\u0131 R\u0259\u015fad H\u0259s\u0259nov bildirdi ki, yanvar-fevral aylar\u0131nda maliyy\u0259 bazarlar\u0131nda v\u0259ziyy\u0259t nisb\u0259t\u0259n sabit olub. “Bel\u0259 olan halda is\u0259, m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 riskl\u0259r olmad\u0131qda v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015flar öz \u0259ll\u0259rind\u0259 olan valyutan\u0131 dig\u0259r valyutalara d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259y\u0259, eyni zamanda konversasiyas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 daha rahat q\u0259rar q\u0259bul edirl\u0259r. Prosesl\u0259r v\u0259 Maliyy\u0259 bazarlar\u0131nda i\u015ftirakç\u0131lar nisb\u0259t\u0259n aktiv olur. Bel\u0259 \u015f\u0259raitd\u0259 d\u0259 banklara sat\u0131lan valyutan\u0131n h\u0259cmi, o cüml\u0259d\u0259n AB\u015e dollar\u0131n\u0131n h\u0259cmi art\u0131r”.
\n\u0130qtisadç\u0131 deyir ki, mart ay\u0131ndan etibar\u0259n situasiya nisb\u0259t\u0259n d\u0259yi\u015fibdir: “Biznes nümay\u0259nd\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 seçkil\u0259rd\u0259n sonra m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259y\u0259 yenid\u0259n bax\u0131lmas\u0131 il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259dar bir q\u0259na\u0259t formala\u015fd\u0131. Bu q\u0259na\u0259t daha çox ölk\u0259d\u0259 AB\u015e dollar\u0131n\u0131n bahala\u015fmas\u0131 istiqam\u0259tind\u0259 dinamika nümayi\u015f etdirm\u0259sini göst\u0259rirdi. Daha sonra is\u0259 seçkil\u0259r \u0259r\u0259f\u0259sind\u0259, Rusiyaya t\u0259tbiq edil\u0259n sanksiyalar fonunda rus rublunun mü\u0259yy\u0259n q\u0259d\u0259r d\u0259y\u0259r itirm\u0259si, bunun bir neç\u0259 gün k\u0259skin hiss olunmas\u0131 daxili bazarlarda bu g\u0259rginliyi daha da art\u0131rd\u0131. Ox\u015far proses h\u0259m Türkiy\u0259d\u0259, h\u0259m \u0130randa da ba\u015f verirdi. \u0130ran aprel ay\u0131nda art\u0131q valyuta il\u0259 xarici ticar\u0259t\u0259 m\u0259hdudiyy\u0259tl\u0259rin t\u0259tbiq edilm\u0259si, dollarla ticar\u0259tin dayand\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 v\u0259 avroya keçilm\u0259si, M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bankda limitl\u0259rin t\u0259tbiq olunmas\u0131 v\u0259 s. kimi m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259l\u0259r ba\u015flam\u0131\u015fd\u0131. Bildiyimiz kimi, türk lir\u0259si d\u0259 il \u0259rzind\u0259 sür\u0259tl\u0259 ucuzla\u015fma\u011fa do\u011fru ir\u0259lil\u0259yir, öz d\u0259y\u0259rini itirir. Bel\u0259 bir fonda bazar i\u015ftirakç\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n ölk\u0259 daxilind\u0259  dollar\u0131n bahala\u015fmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 q\u0259na\u0259ti daha da gücl\u0259ndi. Hans\u0131 ki, h\u0259min dövrd\u0259 proses\u0259 t\u0259sir ed\u0259n dig\u0259r faktlardan biri is\u0259, dünya bazar\u0131nda AB\u015e dollar\u0131n\u0131n öz mövqeyini möhk\u0259ml\u0259ndirm\u0259si idi”. <\/p>\n

 R. H\u0259s\u0259novun sözl\u0259rin\u0259 gör\u0259, AB\u015e dollar\u0131 son iki ay \u0259rzind\u0259 dig\u0259r dön\u0259rli valyutalara, o cüml\u0259d\u0259n inki\u015faf etmi\u015f ölk\u0259l\u0259rin valyutalar\u0131na qar\u015f\u0131 öz d\u0259y\u0259rini \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli s\u0259viyy\u0259d\u0259 möhk\u0259ml\u0259ndirdi: “Bu fonda insanlarda mü\u0259yy\u0259n narahatl\u0131qlar yarand\u0131, t\u0259zyiq artd\u0131. Eyni zamanda bu iki istiqam\u0259td\u0259 t\u0259sir göst\u0259rdi – birincisi, v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015f v\u0259 biznesin dollar t\u0259l\u0259bi yüks\u0259lirs\u0259 daha çox dollar al\u0131r v\u0259 y\u0131\u011f\u0131mda daha çox dollara üstünlük verir. ikincisi is\u0259 onlar \u0259ll\u0259rind\u0259 olan dollar\u0131n x\u0259rcl\u0259nm\u0259si v\u0259 onun sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 gözl\u0259m\u0259 mövqeyin\u0259 keçirl\u0259r. Bel\u0259 bir \u015f\u0259raitd\u0259 d\u0259 t\u0259bii ki, banklara sat\u0131lan dollar\u0131n h\u0259cmi mart-aprel aylar\u0131nda a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 dü\u015füb. Bu dig\u0259r indikatorlarda da özünü göst\u0259rir. Amma may ay\u0131nda art\u0131q Dövl\u0259t Neft Fondu valyuta h\u0259rraclar\u0131na ç\u0131xard\u0131\u011f\u0131  dollar\u0131n h\u0259cmini aç\u0131qlay\u0131b. May ay\u0131nda t\u0259xmin\u0259n 422,7 milyon dollar sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 edibdir. Bu aprel ay\u0131 il\u0259 müqayis\u0259d\u0259 iki d\u0259f\u0259 azd\u0131r. Bel\u0259 ki, Dövl\u0259t Neft Fondu aprel ay\u0131nda 802 milyon dollardan art\u0131q sat\u0131\u015f keçirm\u0259k m\u0259cburiyy\u0259tind\u0259 qalm\u0131\u015fd\u0131. Bu is\u0259 onu dem\u0259y\u0259 \u0259sas verir ki, art\u0131q may ay\u0131n\u0131n indikatorlar\u0131 nisb\u0259t\u0259n daha sabit olacaqd\u0131r. Maliyy\u0259 bazarlar\u0131na v\u0259 monetar siyas\u0259t\u0259 aid olan bütün indikatorlarda müsb\u0259t\u0259 do\u011fru dönü\u015f mü\u015fahid\u0259 olunacaqd\u0131r”.<\/p>\n

Burada turizmin d\u0259 mü\u0259yy\u0259n q\u0259d\u0259r rolunun oldu\u011funu vur\u011fulayan iqtisadç\u0131 deyir ki, böyük ehtimalla may ay\u0131nda valyutaya t\u0259l\u0259bin azalmas\u0131nda mü\u0259yy\u0259n q\u0259d\u0259r \u015fopinq festival\u0131n\u0131n keçirilm\u0259sinin d\u0259 t\u0259siri var idi: “Az\u0259rbaycan valyuta bazarlar\u0131 çox kiçikdir. \u018fn kulminasiya hal\u0131nda t\u0259xmin\u0259n 1,5 milyard dollar\u0131n döndüyü valyuta bazarlar\u0131d\u0131r. Düzdür, söhb\u0259t 2015-ci ild\u0259 ba\u015f ver\u0259nl\u0259rd\u0259n getmir. Çünki h\u0259min dövrd\u0259 proses sür\u0259tl\u0259ndi, 2015-ci il\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r \u0259halinin bütün y\u0131\u011f\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131n t\u0259xmin\u0259n 80 faizi manatla idi. Bird\u0259n-bir\u0259 risk yarand\u0131qda manat bazara yön\u0259ldi. Bu ba\u015fqa bir m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259dir. Amma ondan sonrak\u0131 dövrd\u0259 y\u0131\u011f\u0131m s\u0259viyy\u0259si azald\u0131, çünki \u0259halinin g\u0259lirl\u0259ri k\u0259skin \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 d\u0259y\u0259rsizl\u0259\u015fibdir. Bu d\u0259y\u0259rsizl\u0259\u015fm\u0259 d\u0259 y\u0131\u011f\u0131m imkanlar\u0131n\u0131 azald\u0131bd\u0131r. Eyni zamanda ondan qabaqk\u0131 dövrd\u0259 \u0259hali öz aktivl\u0259rinin böyük hiss\u0259sini xarici valyutalara keçirib. \u0130ndiki halda daha çox cari c\u0259h\u0259td\u0259n yaranm\u0131\u015f bir dövriyy\u0259d\u0259n söhb\u0259t gedir. Bu çox kiçik, h\u0259tta b\u0259zi hallarda 500 milyona q\u0259d\u0259r dü\u015für. Ona gör\u0259 d\u0259 h\u0259r hans\u0131 bir t\u0259dbirl\u0259r ç\u0259rçiv\u0259sind\u0259 t\u0259xmin\u0259n 20-30 milyon AB\u015e dollar\u0131n\u0131n 1 ayda bazara ç\u0131xar\u0131lmas\u0131 bel\u0259 bazarda mü\u0259yy\u0259n q\u0259d\u0259r t\u0259zyiqi azaltmaqla t\u0259klifi art\u0131r\u0131r. V\u0259 manat\u0131n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259sin\u0259 müsb\u0259t t\u0259sir göst\u0259rir”.<\/p>\n

\u0130qtisadç\u0131 \u0259lav\u0259 etdi ki, turizmd\u0259 bu il art\u0131mlar var: “Bu il ölk\u0259y\u0259 daxil olan turistl\u0259rin say\u0131nda s\u0259hv etmir\u0259ms\u0259, ilin \u0259vv\u0259li il\u0259 müqayis\u0259d\u0259 11 faiz art\u0131m olub. Bu art\u0131mlar\u0131n özü d\u0259 son n\u0259tic\u0259 il\u0259 müqayis\u0259d\u0259 ölk\u0259d\u0259 turist x\u0259rcl\u0259m\u0259l\u0259rinin h\u0259cmin\u0259 v\u0259 dolay\u0131 yolla valyuta bazarlar\u0131nda alternativ m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259r hesab\u0131na t\u0259l\u0259bin qar\u015f\u0131lanmas\u0131na g\u0259tirib ç\u0131xar\u0131r. V\u0259 nisbi sabitlik t\u0259min olunur”. <\/p>\n

\u0130qtisadç\u0131 Samir \u018fliyev is\u0259 bildirdi ki, dünya bazar\u0131nda neftin qiym\u0259ti bahala\u015f\u0131b: “H\u0259min dövrd\u0259, y\u0259ni yaz aylar\u0131ndan ba\u015flayaraq neftin qiym\u0259ti art\u0131b. Bu gün is\u0259 neftin bir barrelinin qiym\u0259ti 75-77 dollar aras\u0131nda d\u0259yi\u015fir oynay\u0131r. H\u0259r bir halda Az\u0259rbaycanda dollar bollu\u011funun kökü dünya bazar\u0131ndak\u0131 neftd\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r. Dü\u015fünür\u0259m ki, ölk\u0259y\u0259 dollar g\u0259li\u015finin artd\u0131\u011f\u0131ndan dollar q\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 hiss olunmur. Mart ay\u0131ndan etibar\u0259n ölk\u0259y\u0259 xeyli sayda g\u0259l\u0259n turistl\u0259rin d\u0259 burda rolu oldu. M\u0259nim fikrimc\u0259, manat\u0131n dollarla nisb\u0259td\u0259 sabit qalmas\u0131 ona g\u0259tirib ç\u0131xar\u0131r ki, banklar v\u0259 \u0259hali art\u0131q manata mü\u0259yy\u0259n q\u0259d\u0259r ön\u0259m verm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131r. Çünki dollarla \u0259man\u0259t qoyma\u011f\u0131n faizi a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 oldu\u011funa gör\u0259 s\u0259rf etmir. Amma manatla 10 faizd\u0259n yüks\u0259kdir”.<\/p>\n

Könül \u018fhm\u0259dova<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

R\u0259\u015fad H\u0259s\u0259nov: “Böyük ehtimalla may ay\u0131nda valyutaya t\u0259l\u0259bin azalmas\u0131nda mü\u0259yy\u0259n q\u0259d\u0259r \u015fopinq festival\u0131n\u0131n keçirilm\u0259sinin d\u0259 t\u0259siri var idi” Samir \u018fliyev: “Az\u0259rbaycanda dollar bollu\u011funun kökü dünya bazar\u0131ndak\u0131 neftd\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r” \u018fhali 1…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":251278,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[101],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-65546","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cemiyyet"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65546","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=65546"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/65546\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/251278"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=65546"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=65546"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=65546"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}