{"id":237730,"date":"2026-01-28T09:26:10","date_gmt":"2026-01-28T05:26:10","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-29T20:00:00","slug":"","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/?p=237730","title":{"rendered":"N\u00fcv\u0259 m\u00fcharib\u0259si –"},"content":{"rendered":"

S\u0259ma n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r dinc görüns\u0259 d\u0259, planetd\u0259ki v\u0259ziyy\u0259t son d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259 g\u0259rgindir. 2017-ci il\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r dünyada t\u0259xmin\u0259n dörd düzin\u0259 yax\u0131n silahl\u0131 münaqi\u015f\u0259 v\u0259 müharib\u0259 olub v\u0259 2020-ci il Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 münaqi\u015f\u0259nin k\u0259skinl\u0259\u015fm\u0259si il\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131b. <\/strong><\/p>\n

Ucnoqta.az x\u0259b\u0259r verir ki. nüv\u0259 müharib\u0259sinin ba\u015flan\u011f\u0131c\u0131n\u0131 bildir\u0259n metaforik Qiyam\u0259t Saat\u0131n\u0131n \u0259qr\u0259bi – gec\u0259 yar\u0131s\u0131 – saat 23:58-d\u0259 dayan\u0131b. Bu o dem\u0259kdir ki, uzaq bir xatir\u0259 kimi görün\u0259n nüv\u0259 müharib\u0259si t\u0259hlük\u0259si h\u0259l\u0259 d\u0259 yox olmay\u0131b. Üst\u0259lik, son onillikl\u0259rd\u0259 dünya gücl\u0259rinin nüv\u0259 arsenal\u0131 xeyli art\u0131b.<\/p>\n

B\u0259s gec\u0259 yar\u0131s\u0131 ba\u015f ver\u0259rs\u0259, planetin aqib\u0259ti nec\u0259 olacaq?<\/strong>
\nQiyam\u0259t Saat\u0131 Çikaqo Universitetinin – "Atom Elml\u0259ri Bülleteni" adl\u0131 jurnal\u0131n layih\u0259sidir. Jurnal 1945-ci ild\u0259n n\u0259\u015fr olunur, lakin saat\u0131n özü ilk d\u0259f\u0259 1947-ci ild\u0259 s\u0259hif\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259 xat\u0131rlan\u0131b. Jurnal, AB\u015e-\u0131n gizli nüv\u0259 silahlar\u0131 proqram\u0131n\u0131n kod ad\u0131 olan Manhetten Layih\u0259sinin i\u015ftirakç\u0131lar\u0131 t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n t\u0259sis edilib. Saat\u0131n \u0259qr\u0259bi sonuncu d\u0259f\u0259 1953-cü ild\u0259, SSR\u0130 v\u0259 AB\u015e-\u0131n ilk d\u0259f\u0259 hidrogen bombalar\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131naqdan keçirdiyi zaman 23:58-\u0259 çat\u0131b.<\/p>\n

M\u0259hdud nüv\u0259 münaqi\u015f\u0259si n\u0259y\u0259 g\u0259tirib ç\u0131xaracaq?<\/strong>
\nDem\u0259k olar ki, h\u0259r k\u0259s nüv\u0259 q\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n nec\u0259 oldu\u011funu görüb – \u0259n az\u0131 rejissorlar v\u0259 yaz\u0131ç\u0131lar bunu nec\u0259 t\u0259svir edibl\u0259r. \u0130ndi is\u0259 aliml\u0259rin nüv\u0259 q\u0131\u015f\u0131na nec\u0259 baxd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ara\u015fd\u0131rma\u011f\u0131n vaxt\u0131d\u0131r. 2014-cü ild\u0259 "Advancing Earth and Space Science" jurnal\u0131nda d\u0259rc olunmu\u015f bir ara\u015fd\u0131rmaya gör\u0259, aliml\u0259r "m\u0259hdud regional nüv\u0259 müharib\u0259sind\u0259n" sonra ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259k hadis\u0259l\u0259ri modell\u0259\u015fdiribl\u0259r. T\u0259dqiqatç\u0131lar öz i\u015fl\u0259rind\u0259 Hindistan v\u0259 Pakistan aras\u0131nda nüv\u0259 münaqi\u015f\u0259sinin inki\u015faf\u0131n\u0131 t\u0259s\u0259vvür edibl\u0259r. Bu ölk\u0259l\u0259rin seçilm\u0259si, ehtimal ki, AB\u015e, Rusiya v\u0259 Çinl\u0259 müqayis\u0259d\u0259 bu iki gücün nisb\u0259t\u0259n kiçik nüv\u0259 arsenallar\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n

H\u0259r biri AB\u015e t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n Xirosimaya at\u0131lan bomban\u0131n ölçüsünd\u0259 olan 100 nüv\u0259 ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n mübadil\u0259sind\u0259n sonra be\u015f meqaton qara karbon d\u0259rhal atmosfer\u0259 daxil olacaq. Qara karbon v\u0259 ya his gün\u0259\u015f i\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bloklayacaq v\u0259 ozon t\u0259b\u0259q\u0259sini da\u011f\u0131dacaq. B\u0259zi qara karbonlar sonda ya\u011f\u0131\u015fla s\u0259th\u0259 dü\u015f\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n

Bir ild\u0259n sonra planetin orta s\u0259th temperaturu t\u0259xmin\u0259n iki d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259 Farenheyt dü\u015f\u0259c\u0259k v\u0259 be\u015f il \u0259rzind\u0259 Yer üç d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259y\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r soyuq olacaq. Lakin temperatur dü\u015fm\u0259si qeyri-b\u0259rab\u0259r olacaq v\u0259 ya\u011f\u0131nt\u0131lar \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 azalacaq. Avropa q\u0131\u015flar\u0131 qarl\u0131 v\u0259 soyuq olacaq, dig\u0259r bölg\u0259l\u0259r is\u0259 quraql\u0131q ya\u015fayacaq. Ozon t\u0259b\u0259q\u0259sinin tük\u0259nm\u0259si gün\u0259\u015f yan\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131na v\u0259 d\u0259ri x\u0259rç\u0259ngin\u0259, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 bitki böyüm\u0259sinin azalmas\u0131na v\u0259 qar\u011f\u0131dal\u0131 kimi bitkil\u0259rd\u0259 DNT-nin qeyri-sabitliyin\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259b ola bil\u0259r. Ümumilikd\u0259, m\u0259hdud nüv\u0259 münaqi\u015f\u0259sinin n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 soyuq hava \u015f\u0259raiti, m\u0259hsul çat\u0131\u015fmazl\u0131\u011f\u0131 v\u0259 acl\u0131q daxil olacaq v\u0259 \u0259n az\u0131 2 milyard insan\u0131n ölümün\u0259 s\u0259b\u0259b olacaq.<\/p>\n

Geni\u015fmiqyasl\u0131 nüv\u0259 müharib\u0259sinin n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259ri n\u0259 olar?<\/strong>
\n2019-cu ilin pay\u0131z\u0131nda Prinston Universitetinin aliml\u0259ri Rusiya v\u0259 AB\u015e aras\u0131nda nüv\u0259 müharib\u0259sinin n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259rinin d\u0259h\u015f\u0259tli m\u0259nz\u0259r\u0259sini \u0259ks etdir\u0259n bir video yay\u0131mlad\u0131lar. Hipotetik geni\u015fmiqyasl\u0131 münaqi\u015f\u0259 Avropan\u0131 tam qaranl\u0131\u011fa q\u0259rq ed\u0259c\u0259k v\u0259 nüv\u0259 külü il\u0259 bo\u011facaq. Müt\u0259x\u0259ssisl\u0259r müharib\u0259nin qurbanlar\u0131n\u0131n say\u0131n\u0131n 91 milyonu keç\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259yini t\u0259xmin edirl\u0259r. V\u0259 bu, yaln\u0131z h\u0259rbi \u0259m\u0259liyyatlar\u0131n ba\u015flan\u011f\u0131c\u0131ndad\u0131r. "Science & Global Security" jurnal\u0131n\u0131n sayt\u0131nda d\u0259rc olunmu\u015f r\u0259smi aç\u0131qlamada aliml\u0259r Rusiya il\u0259 AB\u015e aras\u0131nda nüv\u0259 müharib\u0259sinin potensial f\u0259lak\u0259tli n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259rini vur\u011fulamaq üçün simulyasiya haz\u0131rlad\u0131qlar\u0131n\u0131 bildiribl\u0259r. AB\u015e v\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n uzun müdd\u0259tdir mövcud olan nüv\u0259 silahlar\u0131na n\u0259zar\u0259t müqavil\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259n imtina etm\u0259si il\u0259 nüv\u0259 müharib\u0259si riski son ill\u0259rd\u0259 k\u0259skin \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 art\u0131b.<\/p>\n

"Science & Global Security" jurnal\u0131n\u0131n h\u0259mmü\u0259llifi Aleks Qlezer t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n yükl\u0259nmi\u015f dörd d\u0259qiq\u0259lik video nüv\u0259 müharib\u0259sinin n\u0259tic\u0259si ola bil\u0259c\u0259k d\u0259h\u015f\u0259tli xaosu göst\u0259rir. Simulyasiya Almaniya v\u0259 Pol\u015fan\u0131n s\u0259rh\u0259d bölg\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n h\u0259d\u0259fl\u0259nmi\u015f hücumu il\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131r. Bir neç\u0259 saat \u0259rzind\u0259 AB\u015e münaqi\u015f\u0259y\u0259 qo\u015fulur v\u0259 Kalininqrad bölg\u0259sin\u0259 nüv\u0259 bombas\u0131 at\u0131r. Müt\u0259x\u0259ssisl\u0259r bu vaxta q\u0259d\u0259r \u0259n az\u0131 2,6 milyon insan\u0131n öl\u0259c\u0259yini t\u0259xmin edirl\u0259r. Ümumilikd\u0259, ilk 45 d\u0259qiq\u0259 \u0259rzind\u0259 h\u0259rbi \u0259m\u0259liyyatlar n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 3,4 milyondan çox insan öl\u0259c\u0259k.<\/p>\n

Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, simulyasiya dünya dövl\u0259tl\u0259rinin faktiki nüv\u0259 silahlar\u0131, onlar\u0131n ehtiyatlar\u0131 v\u0259 potensial istifad\u0259si h\u0259d\u0259fl\u0259ri haqq\u0131nda geni\u015f m\u0259lumat d\u0259stl\u0259rind\u0259n istifad\u0259 edir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

S\u0259ma n\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r dinc görüns\u0259 d\u0259, planetd\u0259ki v\u0259ziyy\u0259t son d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259 g\u0259rgindir. 2017-ci il\u0259 q\u0259d\u0259r dünyada t\u0259xmin\u0259n dörd düzin\u0259 yax\u0131n silahl\u0131 münaqi\u015f\u0259 v\u0259 müharib\u0259 olub v\u0259 2020-ci il Yax\u0131n \u015e\u0259rqd\u0259 münaqi\u015f\u0259nin…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":251278,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-237730","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/237730","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=237730"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/237730\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/251278"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=237730"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=237730"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=237730"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}