{"id":236379,"date":"2026-01-05T11:24:05","date_gmt":"2026-01-05T07:24:05","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-29T20:00:00","slug":"","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/?p=236379","title":{"rendered":"Maduronun tutulmas\u0131 neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin\u0259 nec\u0259 t\u0259sir ed\u0259c\u0259k?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Venesuela Prezidenti Nikolas Maduronun tutulmas\u0131ndan sonra investorlar\u0131 dü\u015fündür\u0259n \u0259n vacib suallardan biri d\u0259 m\u0259hz bu hadis\u0259nin strateji m\u0259hsullar\u0131n qiym\u0259tin\u0259 nec\u0259 t\u0259sir göst\u0259rm\u0259sidir. Bu is\u0259 birba\u015fa z\u0259ngin ehtiyatlara malik olan Venesuelan\u0131n neft hasiltatç\u0131s\u0131 olmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r. B\u0259s, Maduronun tutulmas\u0131 neftin qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin\u0259 nec\u0259 t\u0259sir göst\u0259r\u0259c\u0259k?<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ucnoqta.az x\u0259b\u0259r verir ki, bu bar\u0259d\u0259 \u015f\u0259rhidn\u0259 iqtisadç\u0131 mill\u0259t v\u0259kili Vüqar Bayramov bildirib. Mill\u0259t v\u0259kilinin sözl\u0259rin\u0259 gör\u0259, Nikolas Maduronun tutulmas\u0131n\u0131n neftin qiym\u0259tl\u0259rin\u0259 t\u0259sirl\u0259rin\u0259 g\u0259ldikd\u0259 is\u0259 bir neç\u0259 ssenari üzr\u0259 proqnozlar t\u0259qdim edilm\u0259kdir:
\n"Venesuelan\u0131n günd\u0259lik neft hasilat\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 beyn\u0259lxalq t\u0259\u015fkilatlar\u0131n f\u0259rqli göst\u0259ricil\u0259ri t\u0259qdim olunsa da, bütün r\u0259q\u0259ml\u0259rd\u0259 sözüged\u0259n dövl\u0259tin bazarda xüsusi mövqey\u0259 malik olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ayd\u0131nla\u015f\u0131r. AB\u015e Enerji \u0130nformasiya Administrasiyas\u0131n\u0131n (EIA) m\u0259lumat\u0131na gör\u0259, günd\u0259lik 1.098 milyon barel istehsal\u0131 il\u0259 Venesuela neft hasilat ed\u0259n ölk\u0259l\u0259r aras\u0131nda 18-ci yerd\u0259dir. E\u0130A bütövlükd\u0259 neft hasilat\u0131n\u0131n 72 faizinin 10 ölk\u0259nin pay\u0131na dü\u015fdüyünü aç\u0131qlay\u0131r. “Trading Economics” eyni olmasa da, ox\u015far n\u0259tic\u0259ni bölü\u015für: 1.142 milyon günd\u0259lik hasilat il\u0259 siyah\u0131da 17-ci pill\u0259.
\nM\u0259s\u0259l\u0259nin dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fi, Venesuelan\u0131n neft ixrac ed\u0259n ölk\u0259l\u0259r aras\u0131nda ilk iyyirmilikd\u0259 yer almamas\u0131d\u0131r. Bel\u0259 ki, bu ölk\u0259 dünya bazar\u0131na 438 min barel neft ç\u0131xarmaqla ixracatç\u0131 ölk\u0259l\u0259r aras\u0131nda 22-ci pill\u0259d\u0259 q\u0259rarla\u015f\u0131b. Neft ixracat\u0131n\u0131n az olmas\u0131 is\u0259, t\u0259bii ki, Venesuelaya t\u0259tbiq edil\u0259n sanksiyalar il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r. 2024-cü ild\u0259 d\u0259y\u0259r ifad\u0259sind\u0259 neft ixracat\u0131n\u0131n15.2 faizi S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131n\u0131n pay\u0131na dü\u015füb. \u0130lk be\u015fliyi Rusiya (9.7 %), AB\u015e (9.4 %), Birl\u0259\u015fmi\u015f \u018fr\u0259b \u018fmirliyi (9.1 %) v\u0259 Kanada (8.5 %) tamamlay\u0131rlar". <\/p>\n

Vüqar Bayramov qeyd edir ki, amma, investorlar üçün bütün bunlardan daha vacib olan m\u0259qam Venesuelan\u0131n neft ehtiyatlar\u0131na gör\u0259 dünyada birinci olmas\u0131d\u0131r:
\n"K\u0259\u015ff edil\u0259n neft ehtiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 18.2 faizi Venesuelan\u0131n pay\u0131na dü\u015für. Dördülüyü S\u0259udiyy\u0259 \u018fr\u0259bistan\u0131 (16.2 faiz), Kanada (10.4 faiz) v\u0259 \u0130ran (9.6 faiz) tamamlay\u0131rlar. Bu is\u0259 o dem\u0259kdir ki, Venesuelan\u0131n neft ehtiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n AB\u015e t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n istismar edilm\u0259si yax\u0131n g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259kd\u0259 bazara böyük h\u0259cmd\u0259 neftin daxil olmas\u0131na v\u0259 t\u0259klifin k\u0259skin artmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olacaq. Bu is\u0259 bazardak\u0131 qiym\u0259tl\u0259r üçün isti n\u0259 is\u0259 v\u0259d etmir. Müqayis\u0259 üçün qeyd ed\u0259k ki, AB\u015e s\u0259rmay\u0259sinin \u0130raq neft sektoruna daxil olmas\u0131ndan sonra hasilat\u0131 k\u0259skin art\u0131ran \u0130raq haz\u0131rda d\u0259y\u0259r ifad\u0259sind\u0259 ümumi neft ixracat\u0131n\u0131n 8.0 faizini formala\u015fd\u0131r\u0131r. 
\nBununla bel\u0259, k\u0259skin t\u0259klif ssenarisinin realla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n zaman alaca\u011f\u0131 istisna deyil. Çünki Venesual\u0131n\u0131n neft infrastrukturunun texnoloji bax\u0131mdan yenid\u0259n qurulmas\u0131 sad\u0259c\u0259 v\u0259sait deyil, h\u0259mçinin zaman t\u0259l\u0259b edir. Bu is\u0259, Venesueladan bazara daxil olacaq böyük neft kütl\u0259si üçün \u0259lav\u0259 vaxt dem\u0259kdir".<\/p>\n

\u0130qtisadç\u0131 bildirir ki, dig\u0259r ssenari is\u0259 Venesuelada potensial xaos riskidir:
\n"Bu halda neft bazar\u0131 prosesl\u0259r\u0259 f\u0259rqli reaksiya ver\u0259c\u0259k. Bununla yana\u015f\u0131, bu halda bel\u0259 neft qiym\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259 k\u0259skin art\u0131m gözl\u0259nilmir. Çünki Venesuelan\u0131n mövcud hasilat v\u0259 ixracat\u0131 bazara xüsusi t\u0259sir etmir. H\u0259tta o ixrac azalsa da bel\u0259 bu qiym\u0259t art\u0131mlar\u0131 üçün z\u0259min yaratm\u0131r.
\nBütün bunlar is\u0259 dem\u0259y\u0259 \u0259sas verir ki, h\u0259tta q\u0131sa müdd\u0259td\u0259 olmasa da bel\u0259, orta müdd\u0259td\u0259 neftin qiym\u0259tl\u0259rind\u0259 hiss edil\u0259n azalmalar qaç\u0131lmaz olacaq. Bu is\u0259 neft g\u0259lirl\u0259rinin iqtisadiyyat\u0131n diversifikasiya n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 dig\u0259r m\u0259nb\u0259l\u0259r il\u0259 \u0259v\u0259zl\u0259nm\u0259si prioritetliyini daha da art\u0131r\u0131r".<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Venesuela Prezidenti Nikolas Maduronun tutulmas\u0131ndan sonra investorlar\u0131 dü\u015fündür\u0259n \u0259n vacib suallardan biri d\u0259 m\u0259hz bu hadis\u0259nin strateji m\u0259hsullar\u0131n qiym\u0259tin\u0259 nec\u0259 t\u0259sir göst\u0259rm\u0259sidir. Bu is\u0259 birba\u015fa z\u0259ngin ehtiyatlara malik olan Venesuelan\u0131n…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":251278,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[88],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-236379","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomika"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/236379","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=236379"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/236379\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/251278"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=236379"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=236379"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=236379"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}