{"id":232113,"date":"2025-10-16T06:17:58","date_gmt":"2025-10-16T02:17:58","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-29T20:00:00","slug":"","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/?p=232113","title":{"rendered":"Sahara s\u0259hras\u0131 \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcn ya\u011f\u0131\u015fl\u0131 g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259k proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r"},"content":{"rendered":"

Sahara s\u0259hras\u0131 dünyan\u0131n \u0259n quraq yerl\u0259rind\u0259n biridir v\u0259 h\u0259r il t\u0259xmin\u0259n 75 mm ya\u011f\u0131nt\u0131 al\u0131r – m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, Çikaqodan on d\u0259f\u0259 azd\u0131r.
\nBununla bel\u0259, qlobal temperaturun artmas\u0131 Sahara çölünü daha da n\u0259ml\u0259ndir\u0259 bil\u0259r. <\/strong><\/p>\n

Ucnoqta.az x\u0259b\u0259r verir ki, Climate and Atmospheric Science jurnal\u0131nda d\u0259rc olunan Çikaqo \u0130llinoys Universitetinin (UIC) t\u0259dqiqatç\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n proqnozlar\u0131na gör\u0259, 21-ci \u0259srin ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131na q\u0259d\u0259r \u015eimali Afrika s\u0259hras\u0131nda ya\u011f\u0131nt\u0131lar tarixi normalarla müqayis\u0259d\u0259 75% arta bil\u0259r.<\/p>\n

Onlar c\u0259nub-\u015f\u0259rq v\u0259 c\u0259nub-m\u0259rk\u0259zi Afrikada da ox\u015far d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259ri gözl\u0259yirl\u0259r.
\n“Ya\u011f\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259si h\u0259m Afrikada, h\u0259m d\u0259 ondan k\u0259narda milyardlarla insana t\u0259sir ed\u0259c\u0259k. Biz bu d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r\u0259 qar\u015f\u0131 nec\u0259 mübariz\u0259 aparma\u011f\u0131 planla\u015fd\u0131rma\u011fa ba\u015flamal\u0131y\u0131q – da\u015fq\u0131nlar\u0131n idar\u0259 edilm\u0259sind\u0259n quraql\u0131\u011fa davaml\u0131 m\u0259hsullara q\u0259d\u0259r "dey\u0259 UIC Liberal \u0130nc\u0259s\u0259n\u0259t v\u0259 Elml\u0259r Kollecinin iqlim\u015fünas\u0131 Thierry Ndetatsine Tagela, t\u0259dqiqat\u0131n apar\u0131c\u0131 mü\u0259llifi deyir.<\/p>\n

Onun sözl\u0259rin\u0259 gör\u0259, temperaturun yüks\u0259lm\u0259sinin ya\u011f\u0131nt\u0131lara t\u0259sirini ba\u015fa dü\u015fm\u0259k uy\u011funla\u015fma strategiyalar\u0131n\u0131n haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131na köm\u0259k ed\u0259 bil\u0259r. T\u0259dqiqat 1965-2014-cü ill\u0259rin tarixi dövrü il\u0259 müqayis\u0259d\u0259 21-ci \u0259srin ikinci yar\u0131s\u0131nda Afrikada yay ya\u011f\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131rmaq üçün 40 iqlim modelind\u0259n ibar\u0259t ansambldan istifad\u0259 edib.<\/p>\n

Tagela model n\u0259tic\u0259l\u0259rini iki iqlim ssenarisi alt\u0131nda t\u0259hlil etdi: biri orta d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 istixana qaz\u0131 emissiyalar\u0131n\u0131, dig\u0259ri is\u0259 çox yüks\u0259k oldu\u011funu n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259 tutur.
\nH\u0259r iki ssenarid\u0259 21-ci \u0259srin sonuna q\u0259d\u0259r Afrika üz\u0259rind\u0259 ya\u011f\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n b\u0259zi regional d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259rl\u0259 d\u0259 olsa, ümumilikd\u0259 artaca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r.
\nKonkret olaraq, ya\u011f\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n Saharada 75%, Afrikan\u0131n c\u0259nub-\u015f\u0259rqind\u0259 25%, c\u0259nub-m\u0259rk\u0259zi Afrikada is\u0259 17% artaca\u011f\u0131 gözl\u0259nilir. Bunun \u0259ksin\u0259 olaraq, qit\u0259nin c\u0259nub-q\u0259rbind\u0259 5% daha quru olaca\u011f\u0131 gözl\u0259nilir.<\/p>\n

“Saxaran\u0131n tarixi ya\u011f\u0131nt\u0131 s\u0259viyy\u0259sini dem\u0259k olar ki, iki d\u0259f\u0259 art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r ki, bu da iqlim bax\u0131m\u0131ndan bel\u0259 quru bölg\u0259 üçün t\u0259\u0259ccüblüdür. Lakin \u0259ks\u0259r modell\u0259r daha rütub\u0259tli \u015f\u0259rait\u0259 do\u011fru ümumi tendensiya il\u0259 raz\u0131la\u015fsalar da, proqnozla\u015fd\u0131rd\u0131qlar\u0131 ya\u011f\u0131nt\u0131n\u0131n miqdar\u0131nda ciddi qeyri-mü\u0259yy\u0259nlik qal\u0131r. Bu modell\u0259rin t\u0259kmill\u0259\u015fdirilm\u0259si regional proqnozlara inam\u0131 art\u0131rmaq üçün vacibdir”, – iqlim alimi vur\u011fulay\u0131b.
\nProqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lan d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r ilk növb\u0259d\u0259 qlobal istil\u0259\u015fm\u0259nin t\u0259siri il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131d\u0131r, çünki temperaturun artmas\u0131 atmosferin daha çox n\u0259m saxlamas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olur v\u0259 bu da ya\u011f\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131 art\u0131r\u0131r.
\nB\u0259zi \u0259razil\u0259rd\u0259 ya\u011f\u0131nt\u0131lar\u0131n azalmas\u0131nda atmosfer sirkulyasiyas\u0131n\u0131n d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259si d\u0259 rol oynay\u0131b.
\n"Ya\u011f\u0131\u015flar\u0131 idar\u0259 ed\u0259n fiziki mexanizml\u0259ri ba\u015fa dü\u015fm\u0259k h\u0259m daha n\u0259m, h\u0259m d\u0259 daha quru g\u0259l\u0259c\u0259kl\u0259r\u0259 tab g\u0259tir\u0259 bil\u0259c\u0259k uy\u011funla\u015fma strategiyalar\u0131n\u0131n haz\u0131rlanmas\u0131 üçün çox vacibdir" dey\u0259 t\u0259dqiqatç\u0131 yekunla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131b.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Sahara s\u0259hras\u0131 dünyan\u0131n \u0259n quraq yerl\u0259rind\u0259n biridir v\u0259 h\u0259r il t\u0259xmin\u0259n 75 mm ya\u011f\u0131nt\u0131 al\u0131r – m\u0259s\u0259l\u0259n, Çikaqodan on d\u0259f\u0259 azd\u0131r. Bununla bel\u0259, qlobal temperaturun artmas\u0131 Sahara çölünü daha da…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":251278,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-232113","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/232113","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=232113"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/232113\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/251278"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=232113"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=232113"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=232113"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}