{"id":207973,"date":"2024-08-24T10:02:08","date_gmt":"2024-08-24T06:02:08","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-29T20:00:00","slug":"","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/?p=207973","title":{"rendered":"\u00d6lk\u0259d\u0259ki dollar ajiotaj\u0131n\u0131n"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ekspertl\u0259r yax\u0131n müdd\u0259td\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda devalvasiyaya gözl\u0259ntisi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 deyir, amma…<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bir müdd\u0259tdir ki, Az\u0259rbaycanda devalvasiya olaca\u011f\u0131, dollar\u0131n qiym\u0259tinin artaca\u011f\u0131 bar\u0259d\u0259 informasiyalar, \u015fayi\u0259l\u0259r dola\u015f\u0131r. Son olaraq bel\u0259 h\u0259y\u0259canl\u0131 x\u0259b\u0259r 2 gün önc\u0259 media v\u0259 sosial \u015f\u0259b\u0259k\u0259l\u0259ri bürüdü.<\/p>\n

H\u0259mçinin, bir çox banklar 2 gün \u0259rzind\u0259 dollar sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 da m\u0259hdudla\u015fd\u0131rd\u0131lar.<\/p>\n

Düzdür, M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank dollar sat\u0131\u015f\u0131nda m\u0259hdudiyy\u0259t t\u0259tbiq edilm\u0259diyini b\u0259yan etdi, ancaq bir çox banklarda 20-21 avqustda v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015flara dollar sat\u0131lmay\u0131b v\u0259 ya 100 dollardan çox verilm\u0259yib.<\/p>\n

Bu ajiotaj\u0131n \u0259sas\u0131 varm\u0131? Az\u0259rbaycanda dollar bahala\u015fmas\u0131, devalvasiya ehtimallar\u0131 varm\u0131?<\/p>\n

\u0130qtisadç\u0131 Natiq C\u0259f\u0259rli bildirib ki, Az\u0259rbaycanda devalvasiya inzibati q\u0259rarla ola bil\u0259r. Bu, bazarda ba\u015f ver\u0259n hadis\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259li deyil: “Az\u0259rbaycanda m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259 inzibati qaydada t\u0259nziml\u0259nir. M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank v\u0259 hökum\u0259t bununla ba\u011fl\u0131 q\u0259rar ver\u0259rs\u0259, o vaxt olar. Bunun ehtimallar\u0131 ona gör\u0259 yüks\u0259kdir ki, art\u0131q 9-cu ildir ki, sabit m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259 rejimind\u0259yik.  M\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fmir. Bu uzun müdd\u0259t bel\u0259 qala bilm\u0259z. Mü\u0259yy\u0259n müdd\u0259td\u0259n sonra mü\u0259yy\u0259n d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r\u0259 ehtiyac yaranacaq.  H\u0259m d\u0259 ona gör\u0259 ki, Az\u0259rbaycanda neftin hasilat\u0131 v\u0259 neft g\u0259lirl\u0259ri, neftin qiym\u0259ti d\u0259 azal\u0131r. Bu il olaca\u011f\u0131na inanm\u0131ram. Y\u0259qin ki, g\u0259l\u0259n devalvasiya il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 q\u0259rar veril\u0259 bil\u0259r”.<\/p>\n

\u0130qtisadç\u0131-ekspert R\u0259\u015fad H\u0259s\u0259nov deyir ki, haz\u0131rk\u0131 iqtisadi mühit, ölk\u0259nin idxal-ixrac \u0259m\u0259liyyatlar\u0131n\u0131n, t\u0259diyy\u0259 balans\u0131n\u0131n strukturunun göst\u0259ricil\u0259rinin, monetar siyas\u0259tin elementl\u0259rinin, fiskal yana\u015fmalar\u0131n v\u0259 sosial aspektl\u0259rin, xüsusi il\u0259 d\u0259 riskl\u0259rin t\u0259hlili n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 g\u0259lin\u0259n q\u0259na\u0259t ondan ibar\u0259tdir ki, bu gün Az\u0259rbaycanda maliyy\u0259 bazar\u0131nda devalvasiyan\u0131 \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259ndir\u0259n t\u0259zyiq yoxdur. Bu gün maliyy\u0259 bazar\u0131nda t\u0259klif q\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yaranarsa, bu, q\u0131samüdd\u0259tli texniki s\u0259b\u0259bl\u0259rd\u0259n ba\u015f ver\u0259 bil\u0259r: “Uzun müdd\u0259tli dövr üçün bu q\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259ndir\u0259n h\u0259r hans\u0131sa bir faktor yoxdur. Ölk\u0259y\u0259 daxil olan valyuta ölk\u0259d\u0259n ç\u0131xan valyuta il\u0259 müqayis\u0259d\u0259 xeyli çoxdur. Bu \u015f\u0259raitd\u0259 devalvasiyan\u0131n iqtisadi v\u0259 monetar aspektl\u0259ri  görünmür. Bu istiqam\u0259td\u0259 t\u0259zyiql\u0259r yoxdur.  Amma onu da n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 almaq laz\u0131md\u0131r ki, Az\u0259rbaycanda manat\u0131n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259si dikt\u0259 il\u0259 formala\u015f\u0131r. \u018fg\u0259r hans\u0131sa f\u0259rqli arqumentl\u0259rl\u0259, \u0259sasland\u0131rmaqla hökum\u0259t q\u0259rar q\u0259bul ed\u0259rs\u0259, bu da mümkündür.  Y\u0259ni göst\u0259ricinin dikt\u0259 qaydas\u0131nda d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259si ola bil\u0259r. Bu bar\u0259d\u0259 mü\u015fahid\u0259l\u0259rimiz göst\u0259rir ki, hökum\u0259td\u0259 h\u0259r hans\u0131sa q\u0259na\u0259t yoxdur. Ancaq haçansa bel\u0259 bir q\u0259rar q\u0259buletm\u0259 imkanlar\u0131 var. Faktiki olaraq heç bir real s\u0259b\u0259b Az\u0259rbaycanda devalvasiyan\u0131 \u015f\u0259rtl\u0259ndirmir. Devalvasiyan\u0131n yaradaca\u011f\u0131 inflyasiya t\u0259dbirl\u0259ri, sosial yük, v\u0259t\u0259nda\u015f v\u0259 biznes üçün yaradaca\u011f\u0131 \u0259lav\u0259 probleml\u0259ri n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 almaq \u015f\u0259rti il\u0259 hökum\u0259t bu istiqam\u0259td\u0259 h\u0259l\u0259lik q\u0259rar q\u0259bul etm\u0259y\u0259c\u0259k. \u018fn az\u0131ndan 2024-cü ild\u0259 devalvasiya gözl\u0259nilirmi”.<\/p>\n

Ekspert banklar\u0131n dollar sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 m\u0259hdudla\u015fd\u0131rmas\u0131ndan da dan\u0131\u015f\u0131b: “D\u0259f\u0259l\u0259rl\u0259 buna b\u0259nz\u0259r hallar ba\u015f verib. Amma 2017-ci ild\u0259n b\u0259ri faktiki olaraq  ölk\u0259d\u0259 sabit m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259dir. Ola bilsin ki, h\u0259rraclar aras\u0131ndak\u0131 vaxt hans\u0131sa s\u0259b\u0259bd\u0259n uzan\u0131r, banklar proqnozla\u015fd\u0131rmaqda ç\u0259tinlik ç\u0259kirl\u0259r v\u0259 laz\u0131m olan q\u0259d\u0259r h\u0259rracdan valyuta alm\u0131rlar, n\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259 bel\u0259 bir q\u0131tl\u0131qla üzl\u0259\u015firl\u0259r.<\/p>\n

Az\u0259rbaycan bazar\u0131 çox kiçikdir. \u0130ri bir \u015firk\u0259tin bazara daxil olub ,valyuta al\u0131b hans\u0131sa borc öhd\u0259liyini yerin\u0259 yetirm\u0259si bel\u0259 ciddi valyuta q\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131 yarada bil\u0259r".<\/p>\n

Ekspert banklar\u0131n köhn\u0259 dollar sat\u0131\u015f\u0131na olan mara\u011f\u0131na da diqq\u0259t ç\u0259kib: “Banklar\u0131n kassalar\u0131nda köhn\u0259 dollar var.  Onu mü\u015ft\u0259ril\u0259r\u0259 ver\u0259nd\u0259 problem yaran\u0131r, götürm\u0259k ist\u0259mirl\u0259r. Çünki banklar b\u0259zi hallarda köhn\u0259 valyutan\u0131 götür\u0259nd\u0259 mü\u015ft\u0259riy\u0259 problem ya\u015fad\u0131blar. Bununla ba\u011fl\u0131 stereotip var. V\u0259t\u0259nda\u015f buna gör\u0259 d\u0259 köhn\u0259 dollar\u0131 alma\u011fa meyilli deyil.  <\/p>\n

M\u0259s\u0259l\u0259 odur ki, köhn\u0259 dollar\u0131n y\u0131\u011f\u0131lmas\u0131 v\u0259 onun federal rezerv sistemin\u0259 çatd\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 x\u0259rcl\u0259r  banklar üçün mü\u0259yy\u0259n ç\u0259tinlik yarad\u0131r. O bax\u0131mdan banklar çal\u0131\u015f\u0131rlar ki, köhn\u0259 dollarlar\u0131 bazarda \u0259ritsinl\u0259r ki, \u0259lav\u0259 x\u0259rc v\u0259 komissiya il\u0259 üzl\u0259\u015fm\u0259sinl\u0259r". <\/p>\n

Milli M\u0259clisin 6-c\u0131 ça\u011f\u0131r\u0131\u015f deputat\u0131 olmu\u015f Az\u0259r Badamov bildirir ki, son vaxtlar banklar\u0131n dollar satmaqdan yay\u0131nmaqlar\u0131 v\u0259 manat\u0131n devalvasiyaya u\u011frayaca\u011f\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 yay\u0131lan x\u0259b\u0259rl\u0259r \u0259sass\u0131zd\u0131r. Dollar\u0131n sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 mü\u0259yy\u0259n olunmu\u015f qaydalar var.<\/p>\n

“Bu qaydalarda h\u0259r bir \u015f\u0259xs\u0259 dollar sat\u0131lmas\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 h\u0259dd mü\u0259yy\u0259n olunub. Banklar da h\u0259min qaydalara uy\u011fun sat\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 h\u0259yata keçirirl\u0259r. Ola bilsin ki, son vaxtlar dollara t\u0259l\u0259bat h\u0259mi\u015f\u0259kind\u0259n daha çox olsun. Bunun da yay mövsümü il\u0259 \u0259laq\u0259dar oldu\u011funu hesab edir\u0259m. Çünki bu aylarda ham\u0131 m\u0259zuniyy\u0259t\u0259 ç\u0131xma\u011fa v\u0259 xaricd\u0259 istirah\u0259t etm\u0259y\u0259 çal\u0131\u015f\u0131r. Bu bax\u0131mdan  dollara olan t\u0259l\u0259bat\u0131n müv\u0259qq\u0259ti olaraq artmas\u0131 gözl\u0259nil\u0259ndir. Amma manat\u0131n devalvasiyaya u\u011frayaca\u011f\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 yay\u0131lan x\u0259b\u0259rl\u0259rin  heç bir \u0259sas\u0131 yoxdur. Biz enerji resurslar\u0131m\u0131z\u0131 \u0259sas\u0259n dollarla sat\u0131r\u0131q. Enerji resurslar\u0131n\u0131n beyn\u0259lxalq bazarlarda qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri yuxar\u0131 h\u0259dd\u0259 qalmaqdad\u0131r”.<\/p>\n

Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, Musavat.com-un \u0259m\u0259kda\u015f\u0131 bir neç\u0259 banka ba\u015f ç\u0259kib v\u0259 real m\u0259nz\u0259r\u0259ni öyr\u0259nm\u0259y\u0259 çal\u0131\u015f\u0131b.  "KapitalBank"dan bildirilib ki, \u0259g\u0259r \u015f\u0259xs il \u0259rzind\u0259 dollar al\u0131\u015f\u0131 etm\u0259yibs\u0259, ona gün \u0259rzind\u0259 11 min 750 dollar sat\u0131la bil\u0259r. “Expressbank” dan is\u0259 bildirilib ki, \u015f\u0259xs\u0259 20 min manatl\u0131q dollar sat\u0131la bil\u0259r.\/\/\/musavat.com<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ekspertl\u0259r yax\u0131n müdd\u0259td\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycanda devalvasiyaya gözl\u0259ntisi olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 deyir, amma… Bir müdd\u0259tdir ki, Az\u0259rbaycanda devalvasiya olaca\u011f\u0131, dollar\u0131n qiym\u0259tinin artaca\u011f\u0131 bar\u0259d\u0259 informasiyalar, \u015fayi\u0259l\u0259r dola\u015f\u0131r. Son olaraq bel\u0259 h\u0259y\u0259canl\u0131 x\u0259b\u0259r 2 gün önc\u0259…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":251278,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[88],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-207973","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomika"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/207973","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=207973"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/207973\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/251278"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=207973"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=207973"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=207973"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}