{"id":161485,"date":"2022-10-31T10:03:39","date_gmt":"2022-10-31T06:03:39","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-29T20:00:00","slug":"","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/?p=161485","title":{"rendered":"Bu\u011fda ucuzla\u015f\u0131r, \u00e7\u00f6r\u0259yin qiym\u0259tin\u0259 nec\u0259 t\u0259sir ed\u0259c\u0259k?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Az\u0259rbaycana idxal edil\u0259n bu\u011fdan\u0131n qiym\u0259ti son bir neç\u0259 ayda enm\u0259kd\u0259dir. Öt\u0259n ild\u0259n ba\u015flayaraq ölk\u0259y\u0259 g\u0259tirilmi\u015f bu\u011fdan\u0131n bahala\u015fmas\u0131 fonunda unun v\u0259 çör\u0259yin qiym\u0259tinin artd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alanda ucuzla\u015fma da \u0259ks proses haqda fikir yürütm\u0259yi z\u0259ruri edir. <\/strong><\/p>\n

B\u0259s real v\u0259ziyy\u0259t nec\u0259dir, bu s\u0259b\u0259b unun v\u0259 çör\u0259yin ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131na g\u0259tirib ç\u0131xara bil\u0259rmi?<\/p>\n

Ucnoqta.az-\u0131n “Qafqazinfo”ya istinad\u0259n m\u0259lumat\u0131na gör\u0259, Dövl\u0259t Gömrük Komit\u0259sinin aç\u0131qlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ayl\u0131q statistik göst\u0259ricil\u0259r \u0259sas\u0131nda apar\u0131lan hesablamalara \u0259sas\u0259n, iyul ay\u0131ndan ba\u015flayaraq ölk\u0259y\u0259 idxal olunan bu\u011fdan\u0131n qiym\u0259ti enm\u0259kd\u0259dir. Bel\u0259 ki, öt\u0259n ild\u0259n ba\u015flayaraq artan qiym\u0259t bu ilin iyun ay\u0131nda \u0259n yüks\u0259k h\u0259dd\u0259 – bir tonu orta hesabla 419,24 AB\u015e dollar\u0131na yüks\u0259ls\u0259 d\u0259, sonrak\u0131 aylarda enm\u0259y\u0259 ba\u015flay\u0131b. Sentyabr ay\u0131nda ölk\u0259y\u0259 idxal edilmi\u015f bir ton bu\u011fdan\u0131n orta qiym\u0259ti iyun ay\u0131 il\u0259 müqayis\u0259d\u0259 20,1 faiz azalaraq 334,79 AB\u015e dollar\u0131 olub. Sentyabr ay\u0131ndak\u0131 orta qiym\u0259t mart ay\u0131ndan sonra \u0259n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 göst\u0259ricidir.  <\/p>\n

“Tax\u0131l d\u0259hlizi” sazi\u015finin qiym\u0259t\u0259 t\u0259siri n\u0259tic\u0259sind\u0259 bu\u011fdan\u0131n ucuzla\u015fmaqda davam ed\u0259c\u0259yi gözl\u0259nil\u0259 bil\u0259r, amma… Söhb\u0259t ondan gedir ki, Rusiyan\u0131n Ukraynaya raket z\u0259rb\u0259l\u0259rinin “Tax\u0131l d\u0259hlizi” sazi\u015fini t\u0259hdid etm\u0259si fonunda Çikaqo \u0259mt\u0259\u0259 birjas\u0131nda bu\u011fdan\u0131n son üç ay\u0131n \u0259n yüks\u0259k h\u0259ddin\u0259 yüks\u0259lm\u0259si ucuzla\u015fman\u0131n davam ed\u0259c\u0259yi gözl\u0259ntisini risk alt\u0131na al\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Ancaq burada ba\u015fqa nüanslar da var. Türkiy\u0259nin Prezidenti R\u0259c\u0259b Tayyib \u018frdo\u011fan Az\u0259rbaycana s\u0259f\u0259ri zaman\u0131 onu mü\u015fayi\u0259t ed\u0259n türkiy\u0259li jurnalistl\u0259r\u0259 müsahib\u0259sind\u0259 deyib ki, “Tax\u0131l d\u0259hlizi”nin uzad\u0131lmas\u0131 üçün heç bir mane\u0259 yoxdur. O, bel\u0259 q\u0259na\u0259t\u0259 Ukrayna v\u0259 Rusiya Prezidentl\u0259ri il\u0259 dan\u0131\u015f\u0131qlardan sonra g\u0259ldiyini b\u0259yan edib. Türkiy\u0259 Prezidenti hesab edir ki, bu istiqam\u0259td\u0259 yarana bil\u0259c\u0259k h\u0259r hans\u0131 bir mane\u0259 aradan qald\u0131r\u0131la bil\u0259r. <\/p>\n

H\u0259rç\u0259nd ki, Ukrayna Rusiyan\u0131 raz\u0131la\u015fman\u0131n tam icras\u0131na q\u0259sd\u0259n mane olmaqda ittiham edib. “Reuters” agentliyinin m\u0259lumat\u0131na gör\u0259, Ukraynan\u0131n \u0130nfrastruktur Nazirliyinin “Telegram” kanal\u0131nda yayd\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u0259yanatda deyilib ki, ölk\u0259nin limanlar\u0131n\u0131n potensial\u0131n\u0131n yaln\u0131z 25-30 faizind\u0259n istifad\u0259 etm\u0259k olur.  Agentlik, h\u0259mçinin “Agrotrade” tax\u0131l ticar\u0259t firmas\u0131n\u0131n r\u0259hb\u0259rinin fikirl\u0259rind\u0259n sitat g\u0259tir\u0259r\u0259k “Tax\u0131l d\u0259hlizi”nin az da olsa i\u015fl\u0259s\u0259 d\u0259 “qeyri-sabit” oldu\u011funu yaz\u0131b. Yaz\u0131da qeyd edilib ki, Rusiyan\u0131n “tax\u0131l d\u0259hlizi” il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 sazi\u015fin müdd\u0259tinin noyabr ay\u0131n\u0131n 19-dan sonra uzad\u0131lmas\u0131na raz\u0131 olub-olmayaca\u011f\u0131 il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 narahatl\u0131qlar artmaqdad\u0131r. <\/p>\n

Lakin bu\u011fdan\u0131n ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n qar\u015f\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 alacaq t\u0259k s\u0259b\u0259b “tax\u0131l d\u0259hlizi” sazi\u015fini Rusiya-Ukrayna müharib\u0259sinin t\u0259hdid etm\u0259si deyil. Birl\u0259\u015fmi\u015f Mill\u0259tl\u0259r T\u0259\u015fkilat\u0131n\u0131n \u018frzaq v\u0259 K\u0259nd T\u0259s\u0259rrüfat\u0131 T\u0259\u015fkilat\u0131n\u0131n (FAO) m\u0259lumat\u0131na gör\u0259, sentyabr ay\u0131nda dünya bazarlar\u0131nda bu\u011fdan\u0131n qiym\u0259ti 2,2 faiz art\u0131b. Ümumilikd\u0259 is\u0259 qlobal \u0259rzaq qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri 6 ayd\u0131r ki, enm\u0259kd\u0259 davam edir. FAO-nun sentyabr ay\u0131 üzr\u0259 aç\u0131qlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u0259lumata gör\u0259, tax\u0131l istisna olmaqla dig\u0259r \u0259rzaq m\u0259hsullar\u0131 qruplar\u0131 üzr\u0259 (\u0259t, bitki ya\u011f\u0131, süd v\u0259 \u015f\u0259k\u0259r) qiym\u0259t indeksl\u0259ri azal\u0131b. FAO-nun Tax\u0131l qiym\u0259tl\u0259ri indeksi sentyabr ay\u0131nda orta hesabla 147,8 b\u0259nd t\u0259\u015fkil edib ki, bu da avqust ay\u0131na nisb\u0259t\u0259n 2,2 b\u0259nd (1,5 faiz) v\u0259 2021-ci ilin sentyabr ay\u0131 il\u0259 müqayis\u0259d\u0259 is\u0259 14,9 b\u0259nd (11,2 faiz) çoxdur. Qurum sentyabr ay\u0131nda bu\u011fdan\u0131n bahala\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 “Tax\u0131l d\u0259hlizi” sazi\u015finin noyabr ay\u0131ndan sonra davam etdirilm\u0259si il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 artan qeyri-mü\u0259yy\u0259nlikl\u0259 b\u0259rab\u0259r, Argentina v\u0259 AB\u015e-da hava \u015f\u0259raitinin yaratd\u0131\u011f\u0131 narahatl\u0131qlar, el\u0259c\u0259 d\u0259 Avropa \u0130ttifaq\u0131nda t\u0259l\u0259bat\u0131n artmas\u0131 il\u0259 izah edib. H\u0259rç\u0259nd ki, “Tax\u0131l d\u0259hlizi” raz\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n noyabrdan sonrak\u0131 “taleyi” il\u0259 \u015fübh\u0259l\u0259rin kökünd\u0259 Ukraynadan ç\u0131xan tax\u0131l m\u0259hsullar\u0131n\u0131n \u0259sas\u0259n Avropa ölk\u0259l\u0259rin\u0259 gönd\u0259rilm\u0259si dayan\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u0130st\u0259nil\u0259n halda Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n bu\u011fda idxal\u0131n\u0131n son üç ayl\u0131q, o cüml\u0259d\u0259n sentyabr ay\u0131n\u0131n göst\u0259ricil\u0259ri onu dem\u0259y\u0259 \u0259sas verir ki, sözüged\u0259n hadis\u0259l\u0259r yerli t\u0259chizata \u0259ng\u0259l tör\u0259tm\u0259yib. 9 ayda idxal\u0131n  az qala yar\u0131s\u0131 – 47,5 faizi son üç ay\u0131n pay\u0131na dü\u015füb. T\u0259kc\u0259 sentyabr ay\u0131nda bu\u011fda idxal\u0131n\u0131n h\u0259cmi ümumi idxal\u0131n 27,5 faizini t\u0259\u015fkil edib. Ba\u015fqa sözl\u0259, mövsümd\u0259n \u0259lav\u0259, qiym\u0259tin \u0259lveri\u015fli olmas\u0131 idxal\u0131n \u0259sas hiss\u0259sinin bu müdd\u0259td\u0259 realla\u015fmas\u0131na imkan verib. Bu bax\u0131mdan bu\u011fda idxal\u0131nda sonrak\u0131 dövrd\u0259 ba\u015f ver\u0259c\u0259kl\u0259ri t\u0259xmin etm\u0259k üçün Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n \u0259sas t\u0259darükçüsü olan Rusiyaya fokuslanmaq daha m\u0259qs\u0259d\u0259uy\u011fundur. <\/p>\n

\u018fvv\u0259lc\u0259 ondan ba\u015flayaq ki, Rusiyan\u0131n bu\u011fda ixrac\u0131nda ç\u0259tinlikl\u0259r yaran\u0131b. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259 cari ilin iyul-avqust aylar\u0131nda bu\u011fda sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 \u0259vv\u0259lki ilin eyni dövrün\u0259 nisb\u0259t\u0259n 22 faiz azal\u0131b. Rusiya medias\u0131n\u0131n m\u0259lumat\u0131na gör\u0259, t\u0259kc\u0259 dünyan\u0131n 35-d\u0259n çox ölk\u0259sin\u0259 m\u0259hsul satan Rusiyan\u0131n “Rusagro Group” \u015firk\u0259tinin bu\u011fda sat\u0131\u015f\u0131 bu ilin üçüncü rübünd\u0259 56 faiz azal\u0131b. “Bloomberg” agentliyi vur\u011fulay\u0131r ki, qida m\u0259hsullar\u0131 sanksiyalara m\u0259ruz qalmasa da, b\u0259zi banklar v\u0259 g\u0259miçilik \u015firk\u0259tl\u0259rinin Rusiya il\u0259 i\u015f görm\u0259kd\u0259n yay\u0131n\u0131rlar. <\/p>\n

Ancaq ixraca ç\u0259tinlik yaradan t\u0259kc\u0259 banklar v\u0259 g\u0259miçilik \u015firk\u0259tl\u0259ri deyil. TASS-\u0131n k\u0259nd t\u0259s\u0259rrüfat\u0131 bazarlar\u0131n\u0131n öyr\u0259nilm\u0259si üzr\u0259 ixtisasla\u015fan “Sovecon” \u015firk\u0259tin\u0259 istinad\u0259n yayd\u0131\u011f\u0131 m\u0259lumata gör\u0259, s\u0259b\u0259b c\u0259nub bölg\u0259si üzr\u0259 ixrac rüsumlar\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 v\u0259 rublun möhk\u0259ml\u0259nm\u0259si, dig\u0259r regionlarda is\u0259 t\u0259l\u0259bin nisb\u0259t\u0259n a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 olmas\u0131 fonunda t\u0259klifin yüks\u0259k olmas\u0131d\u0131r.   <\/p>\n

2022-ci il Rusiyada rekord miqdarda tax\u0131l m\u0259hsulu gözl\u0259nilir. Bu ölk\u0259nin K\u0259nd T\u0259s\u0259rrüfat\u0131 Nazirliyinin proqnozlar\u0131na gör\u0259, tax\u0131l y\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n 150 milyon tona çataca\u011f\u0131 gözl\u0259nilir ki, bunun da t\u0259xmin\u0259n 100 milyon tonu bu\u011fdad\u0131r. Bu\u011fda il\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 proqnoz realla\u015farsa, bu, son 5 ild\u0259 \u0259n yüks\u0259k göst\u0259rici olacaq. Öt\u0259n il 76,1 milyon ton bu\u011fda y\u0131\u011f\u0131lm\u0131\u015fd\u0131. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259 \u015fimal qon\u015fumuz haz\u0131rda g\u0259l\u0259n il üçün bu\u011fda ixrac\u0131 kvotas\u0131n\u0131 art\u0131rma\u011f\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259rd\u0259n keçirir.  <\/p>\n

Ekspertl\u0259r bu amill\u0259ri n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alaraq Rusiya bu\u011fdas\u0131n\u0131n qiym\u0259tinin en\u0259c\u0259yini proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131l\u0131r. Vur\u011fulan\u0131r ki, t\u0259rkibind\u0259 12,5 faiz zülal olan bu\u011fdan\u0131n ixrac qiym\u0259ti orta hesabla bir tonu FOB \u015f\u0259rti il\u0259 328 dollardan 322,5 dollara dü\u015füb.  <\/p>\n

Yax\u0131n müdd\u0259td\u0259 Rusiyan\u0131n Az\u0259rbaycan\u0131n bu\u011fda idxal\u0131ndak\u0131 mövqeyind\u0259 ciddi d\u0259yi\u015fikliyin olmayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alanda, qiym\u0259tl\u0259 ba\u011fl\u0131 sonrak\u0131 gedi\u015fat\u0131 mü\u0259yy\u0259n etm\u0259k çox da ç\u0259tin deyil. Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n birjalarda bu\u011fdan\u0131n qiym\u0259ti arta bil\u0259c\u0259yi q\u0259d\u0259r yüks\u0259lib v\u0259 haz\u0131rda azalma istiqam\u0259tind\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259kd\u0259dir. \u0130stehsal\u0131n artmas\u0131 v\u0259 qlobal iqtisadi art\u0131mla ba\u011fl\u0131 narahatl\u0131qlar dig\u0259r \u0259rzaq m\u0259hsullar\u0131 kimi bu\u011fdadan da yan keçmir. “Tax\u0131l d\u0259hlizi” sazi\u015finin müdd\u0259ti uzad\u0131larsa, bu prosesin daha da sür\u0259tl\u0259n\u0259c\u0259yi istisna deyil.    <\/p>\n

Bütün bunlara baxmayaraq, son üç ayda bu\u011fdan\u0131n idxal qiym\u0259tinin azalmas\u0131 özünü ölk\u0259d\u0259 unun topdansat\u0131\u015f qiym\u0259tind\u0259 \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259d\u0259 göst\u0259rm\u0259yib. Bel\u0259 ki, avqust ay\u0131nda iri un v\u0259 çör\u0259k istehsalç\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n birg\u0259 m\u0259lumat\u0131nda 50 kiloqraml\u0131q bir kis\u0259 unun Bak\u0131 \u015f\u0259h\u0259rind\u0259 \u0259n yüks\u0259k topdansat\u0131\u015f qiym\u0259t h\u0259ddinin 40,70 manat mü\u0259yy\u0259nl\u0259\u015fdirildiyi qeyd edilmi\u015fdi. Antiinhisar v\u0259 \u0130stehlak Bazarlar\u0131na N\u0259zar\u0259t Dövl\u0259t Xidm\u0259tinin aç\u0131qlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 son m\u0259lumata gör\u0259, 50 kiloqraml\u0131q bir kis\u0259 unun Bak\u0131 \u015f\u0259h\u0259rind\u0259 qiym\u0259ti 40 manatd\u0131r. Bel\u0259likl\u0259, ölk\u0259y\u0259 idxal olunan bu\u011fdan\u0131n orta qiym\u0259ti iyunda qeyd\u0259 al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f \u0259n yüks\u0259kl\u0259 müqayis\u0259d\u0259 sentyabrda 20,1 faiz azalsa da, 50 kiloqraml\u0131q bir kis\u0259 unun qiym\u0259ti 1,7 faiz enib. <\/p>\n

Dövl\u0259t Statistika Komit\u0259sinin m\u0259lumat\u0131na gör\u0259, çör\u0259k v\u0259 çör\u0259k m\u0259mulatlar\u0131n\u0131n qiym\u0259ti sentyabr ay\u0131nda \u0259vv\u0259lki ayla müqayis\u0259d\u0259 4,8 faiz art\u0131b. Bu dövrd\u0259 p\u0259rak\u0259nd\u0259 sat\u0131lan ayr\u0131-ayr\u0131 \u0259rzaq m\u0259hsullar\u0131ndan daha çox bahala\u015fanlar\u0131n s\u0131ras\u0131nda un ilk yerd\u0259dir.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Az\u0259rbaycana idxal edil\u0259n bu\u011fdan\u0131n qiym\u0259ti son bir neç\u0259 ayda enm\u0259kd\u0259dir. Öt\u0259n ild\u0259n ba\u015flayaraq ölk\u0259y\u0259 g\u0259tirilmi\u015f bu\u011fdan\u0131n bahala\u015fmas\u0131 fonunda unun v\u0259 çör\u0259yin qiym\u0259tinin artd\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alanda ucuzla\u015fma da \u0259ks proses haqda…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":251278,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[101],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-161485","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cemiyyet"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161485","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=161485"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/161485\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/251278"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=161485"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=161485"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=161485"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}