{"id":153223,"date":"2022-07-13T10:47:38","date_gmt":"2022-07-13T06:47:38","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-29T20:00:00","slug":"","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/?p=153223","title":{"rendered":"Avro dollar il\u0259 b\u0259rab\u0259rl\u0259\u015fdi – manat\u0131n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259si nec\u0259 olacq? <\/b><\/font>"},"content":{"rendered":"

Dünya bazar\u0131nda dollar\u0131n k\u0259skin möhk\u0259ml\u0259nm\u0259si davam edir. AB\u015e pulu \u0259ks\u0259r s\u0259b\u0259t valyutalara nisb\u0259t\u0259n gücl\u0259nm\u0259kd\u0259dir.
\nAvronun m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259si son 23 ild\u0259 ilk d\u0259f\u0259 dollar il\u0259 b\u0259rab\u0259rl\u0259\u015fib. \u0130ndi birjalarda 1 avro almaq üçün, dem\u0259k olar, 1 dollar öd\u0259m\u0259k laz\u0131md\u0131. Son 1 ild\u0259 avro 18 faiz d\u0259y\u0259r itirib. <\/strong><\/p>\n

Ucnoqta.az x\u0259b\u0259r verir ki, bunu mill\u0259t v\u0259kili Vüqar Bayramov deyib. Onun sözl\u0259rin\u0259 gör\u0259, Avropa pulunun ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131 Rusiya-Ukrayna müharib\u0259si ba\u015flad\u0131qdan sonra daha da sür\u0259tl\u0259nib:
\n"Avronun k\u0259skin ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n \u0259sas s\u0259b\u0259bi d\u0259 m\u0259hz Ukraynadak\u0131 sava\u015fd\u0131r. Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, Rusiyan\u0131n Avropaya qaz t\u0259chizat\u0131n\u0131 m\u0259hdudla\u015fd\u0131rmas\u0131 v\u0259 avrozonada yüks\u0259k infilyasiya, iqtisadi proqnozlarda neqativ dürüstl\u0259\u015fm\u0259 v\u0259 bütövlükd\u0259 daha d\u0259rin böhran gözl\u0259ntil\u0259ri avronu z\u0259ifl\u0259dir. Mavi qaz\u0131n qiym\u0259tind\u0259ki k\u0259skin art\u0131mlar “qoca qit\u0259d\u0259” real sektorun inki\u015faf\u0131n\u0131 ciddi \u015f\u0259kild\u0259 tormuzlay\u0131r.
\nEyni zamanda, AB\u015e Federal Ehtiyatlar Sistemi (FED) uçot d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259sind\u0259 k\u0259skin art\u0131mlara getm\u0259si d\u0259 avro daxil olmaqla dig\u0259r s\u0259b\u0259t valyutalar\u0131n\u0131n dollara olan kursuna t\u0259sirsiz ötü\u015fmür. Öt\u0259n ay FED d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259ni 75 baza b\u0259ndi art\u0131raraq 1,50-1,75 faiz aral\u0131\u011f\u0131na çatd\u0131r\u0131b. Bu 1994-cü ild\u0259n b\u0259ri \u0259n yüks\u0259k art\u0131m idi. \u0130yul ay\u0131nda da AB\u015e-da uçot d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259sinin yenid\u0259n art\u0131r\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 istisna etmirl\u0259r. Ekspertl\u0259r uçot d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259sinin ilin sonunad\u0259k daha 1,75 baza b\u0259ndi art\u0131raraq 3.4 faiz\u0259 çatd\u0131r\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirirl\u0259r".<\/p>\n

"FED bu il 2 faizlik infilyasiya h\u0259d\u0259fl\u0259s\u0259 d\u0259 art\u0131q 12 ayl\u0131q qiym\u0259t art\u0131m\u0131 s\u0259viyy\u0259si 7.0 faiz\u0259 yax\u0131nla\u015f\u0131r. Bu son 40 ild\u0259 AB\u015e-da \u0259n yüks\u0259k infilyas\u0131 göst\u0259ricisidir. Dig\u0259r t\u0259r\u0259fd\u0259n, Birl\u0259\u015fmi\u015f \u015etatlar ÜDM-d\u0259 art\u0131m 2.8 % proqnoza qar\u015f\u0131 1.7 faiz olub. Bütün bunlar FED-in k\u0259skin d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259 art\u0131mlar\u0131na getm\u0259y\u0259 m\u0259cbur edib. N\u0259tic\u0259d\u0259 is\u0259 dollar\u0131n k\u0259skin möhk\u0259ml\u0259nm\u0259si il\u0259 mü\u015fahid\u0259 edilir.
\nAvronun ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131 Avropa m\u0259hsullar\u0131n\u0131n dollar ifad\u0259sind\u0259 ucuzla\u015fmas\u0131na s\u0259b\u0259b olur. Do\u011frudur, avrozonada infilyasiya s\u0259viyy\u0259si d\u0259 kifay\u0259t q\u0259d\u0259r yüks\u0259kdir. Amma qlobal infilyasiya d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259sini n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259 alsaq ucuz avro h\u0259m d\u0259 dollar ifad\u0259sind\u0259 daha az x\u0259rcli Avropa m\u0259hsullar\u0131 dem\u0259kdir.<\/p>\n

Rusiya Ukrayna müharib\u0259si ba\u015flad\u0131qdan sonra manat\u0131n da avroya nisb\u0259t\u0259n möhk\u0259ml\u0259nm\u0259si mü\u015fahid\u0259 olunur. Bu il fevral\u0131n 24-d\u0259 1 avro 1.9115 manat idis\u0259, indi kurs 1.7060-d\u0259k d\u0259yi\u015fib. Bu manat\u0131n avroya nisb\u0259t\u0259n son 5 aydan 12 faiz möhk\u0259ml\u0259nm\u0259si anlam\u0131na g\u0259lir. Qeyd ed\u0259k ki, manat\u0131n avroya birba\u015fa deyil, çarpaz m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259si mü\u0259yy\u0259nl\u0259\u015fir v\u0259 avro dollara nisb\u0259t\u0259n d\u0259y\u0259r itirdikc\u0259 Az\u0259rbaycan pulu Avropa valyutas\u0131na n\u0259z\u0259r\u0259n möhk\u0259ml\u0259nir" – Vüqar Bayramov qeyd edib.<\/p>\n

Mill\u0259t v\u0259kili bildirir ki, bu arada uzun müdd\u0259td\u0259n sonra Avropa M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131n\u0131n bu ay uçot d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259sini 0.25 faiz art\u0131raca\u011f\u0131 gözl\u0259nilir: 
\n"Amma yen\u0259 d\u0259 Avropada uçot d\u0259r\u0259c\u0259si okean\u0131n o tay\u0131 il\u0259 müqayis\u0259d\u0259 daha a\u015fa\u011f\u0131 faiz b\u0259ndl\u0259ri il\u0259 yüks\u0259ldilir.
\nAvronun z\u0259ifl\u0259m\u0259si Avropadan Az\u0259rbaycana idxal edil\u0259n m\u0259hsullar\u0131n\u0131n x\u0259rcin\u0259 t\u0259sir ed\u0259 bil\u0259r. Amma avrozonada infilyasiya s\u0259viyy\u0259si yüks\u0259k oldu\u011fundan idxal edil\u0259n mallarda xüsusi qiym\u0259t azalmalar\u0131 proqnozla\u015fd\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131r. Bununla yana\u015f\u0131, Avropa istehsall\u0131 avtomobill\u0259rin x\u0259rcind\u0259 mü\u0259yy\u0259n azalmalar\u0131n olaca\u011f\u0131 istisna deyil.
\nDollar\u0131n dünya bazar\u0131nda möhk\u0259ml\u0259nm\u0259si kontekstind\u0259 manat\u0131n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259sin\u0259 g\u0259ldikd\u0259 is\u0259 \u0259vv\u0259ll\u0259r d\u0259 qeyd etdiyimiz kimi, kursa t\u0259sir göst\u0259r\u0259n \u0259sas iqtisadi faktorlar ölk\u0259y\u0259 daxil olan valyutan\u0131n h\u0259cmi, eyni zamanda Dövl\u0259t Neft Fondu t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n h\u0259rraca ç\u0131xar\u0131lan valyutan\u0131n m\u0259bl\u0259\u011fidir. Valyutaya olan t\u0259l\u0259bin \u0259h\u0259miyy\u0259tli hiss\u0259si Neft Fondu t\u0259r\u0259find\u0259n öd\u0259nilir. Bu bax\u0131mdan Neft Fondunun h\u0259rraca ç\u0131xartd\u0131\u011f\u0131 v\u0259saitl\u0259rin h\u0259cmi dollara olan t\u0259l\u0259bin öd\u0259nilm\u0259sind\u0259 çox ön\u0259mlidir. Bu da t\u0259bii ki, manat\u0131n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259si bax\u0131m\u0131ndan vacib hesab olunur. T\u0259bii ki, xarici ticar\u0259t t\u0259r\u0259fda\u015flar\u0131m\u0131zda milli valyutalar\u0131n\u0131n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259l\u0259rind\u0259ki d\u0259yi\u015fiklikl\u0259r d\u0259 iqtisadi faktorlardan biridir.<\/p>\n

Bütün bunlar il\u0259 yana\u015f\u0131, praktiki olaraq, manat\u0131n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259si birba\u015fa Az\u0259rbaycan M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131n\u0131n q\u0259rar\u0131ndan as\u0131l\u0131d\u0131r. M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank proses\u0259 birba\u015fa intervensiya etm\u0259k imkanlar\u0131n\u0131 qoruyub saxlay\u0131r. Ona gör\u0259 d\u0259 qlobal valyuta bazar\u0131ndak\u0131 k\u0259skin volatillik fonunda manat\u0131n m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259sinin nec\u0259 d\u0259yi\u015fm\u0259si birba\u015fa Az\u0259rbaycan M\u0259rk\u0259zi Bank\u0131n\u0131n mövqeyind\u0259n as\u0131l\u0131 olacaq".<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dünya bazar\u0131nda dollar\u0131n k\u0259skin möhk\u0259ml\u0259nm\u0259si davam edir. AB\u015e pulu \u0259ks\u0259r s\u0259b\u0259t valyutalara nisb\u0259t\u0259n gücl\u0259nm\u0259kd\u0259dir. Avronun m\u0259z\u0259nn\u0259si son 23 ild\u0259 ilk d\u0259f\u0259 dollar il\u0259 b\u0259rab\u0259rl\u0259\u015fib. \u0130ndi birjalarda 1 avro almaq üçün,…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":251278,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[88],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-153223","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ekonomika"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/153223","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=153223"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/153223\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/251278"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=153223"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=153223"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ucnoqta.az\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=153223"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}